Tonari no Riichi

Imagine a player whose only strategy is "get menzen tenpai faster, insta-riichi, auto-win." This is foolish, but I believe it's also the strategy of the average beginner. Now, imagine a bot that's programmed to get menzen tenpai faster, insta-riichi, and just autowin. What will define their total winning?

Given that the "skill" is just the same, should we say "luck"? Luck? Or rather, probability? Statistics? Averages? EV? After 5000 games, will their stats be the same? (given that the player never improved or detoured from his strategy)

Is it luck? Then, can a bot "get lucky"? No, that cannot be, in the case of the bot it's just probability talking. Purely statistics.
Then, why would you call it "luck" in the case of the player? Why would you feel you can have "luck"? Does your sole presence on the table give you a heads-up? Do you really feel that special?

Luck is merely your -interpretation- of an outcome (either possitive or negative) that is merely linked to probability. You cannot control it, you cannot understand it. Study statistics and probability instead, and then apply it.

Smoke that, occult players.

Yay for Tsuno. Now Tenhou has Jansou mode, if I heard correctly, and also a new way to display your stats for viewing pleasure. I finally reached my goal of 4D1800R. From now on, and until I get demoted, you can find me playing at 特上 (tokujou).

Stats dump:



Also, WTF?



And why not, a little replay dump. I had a streak of 20 games in a row where I couldn't get first place, so I rage-deleted my whole paifu records, so I only have these few from now:

【1】 2位(+8.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010091406gm-0089-0000-xeacc6401e4ab&tw=0
【2】 2位(+2.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010091423gm-0089-0000-x844988850096&tw=1
【3】 1位(+45.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010091504gm-0089-0000-x65c2e2e42e32&tw=1
【4】 3位(-20.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010091605gm-0089-0000-x9983df07cd01&tw=1
【5】 1位(+40.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010091607gm-0089-0000-x88b286aab338&tw=3
【6】 1位(+54.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010091612gm-0089-0000-xfe1f1a40f803&tw=0

After I recieved my beloved Etopen, I played 4 games while holding on to it, and managed to win the first two games. After that, I played two more games and not only did I win them, but I scored two different yakuman in them. Suu An Kou and Daisangen. Not to mention, I ended up first in those four games in a row and also scored two yakuman in a row. The flow of the penguin is something to be feared. The screenshots are as follow:





And the respective replays in question:

【9】 1位(+54.0) [上南喰赤] (first win)
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010082108gm-0089-0000-x749b4fc83dee&tw=0
【10】 1位(+63.0) [上南喰赤] (second win)
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010082111gm-0089-0000-xae950a1575f6&tw=2
【11】 1位(+74.0) [上南喰赤] (suu an kou)
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010082113gm-0089-0000-xfec354b6df3a&tw=1
【12】 1位(+94.0) [上南喰赤] (dai san gen)
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010082308gm-0089-0000-xecade049be87&tw=1

I kinda needed something like this after I ended up 4th like four times in a row before holding etopen.

Also, pics of the godly penguin in question:



Get your own at http://www.cospa.com/detail/id/00000029840

Probably one of the first Mahjong books in Spanish, and I have been wanting to finish it for a while.

Este libro de cómo jugar mahjong, con cómo calcular los puntajes, yaku, reglas, y otras cosas, es probablemente uno de los muy pocos que hay en español ahí afuera, y me tomó un tiempo corregirlo y terminarlo. Si ya sabes "lo básico del mahjong," esto es ideal para profundizar en cualquier duda sobre las cosas básicas y afianzar los conocimientos básicos. Si no sabes nada de mahjong, probablemente te maree con mucha información nueva junta. Pero, juzguen por ustedes mismos.

http://www.mediafire.com/?khggyefihyioqjl (Revised & Re-uploaded)


Guía de Profundización en Mahjong Básico by Giaconia Nicolás Jorge is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported License.
Based on a work at facebook.com.

【40】 1位(+46.0) [南喰]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010081516gm-000b-0000-xe37975a7592f&tw=0

lolgyakuten?

Also, don't judge my stats on that 5th kyu "Kimecchi", it's my "NoName" account, so yeah, I ragequite quite a bit with it and only play in ippan. Other similar replays with Vampy (<3) are as follow:

【37】 4位(-61.0) [南喰]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010081415gm-000b-0000-x4b674b767e14&tw=1
【38】 1位(+68.0) [南喰]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010081416gm-000b-0000-x92ba2c767a17&tw=0
【39】 3位(-16.0) [南喰]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010081515gm-000b-0000-x2f6b0476ec61&tw


Also, the league had a battle royale kinda thing, and I manage to get into a table with my two of my favorite mahjong blog/pon palace pseudo-celebrities, Osamu and VgameT. Also bzzzra there was a nice bonus, cool guy.

[2010/08/14/南喰赤速] A:きめっち(+59.0) B:VgameT(+1.0) C:OSAMU(-37.0) D:bzzzra(-23.0)
http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010081407gm-0049-7453-x6ce084f3e7ac&tw=0

And other three league matches:

[2010/08/14/南喰赤速] A:一番を下さい(+43.0) B:bzzzra(+11.0) C:HatHair(-10.0) D:きめっち(-44.0)
http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010081406gm-0049-7453-x407e5b114808&tw=3

[2010/08/14/南喰赤速] A:一番を下さい(+10.0) B:bzzzra(-38.0) C:きめっち(-13.0) D:OSAMU(+41.0)
http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010081406gm-0049-7453-xa674d3ac85a0&tw=2

[2010/08/14/南喰赤速] A:bzzzra(-39.0) B:一番を下さい(-20.0) C:HatHair(+3.0) D:きめっち(+56.0)
http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010081407gm-0049-7453-xdb1e934176a9&tw=3

Yeah, well, bzzzra was in all of them as you see.

Also, I managed to play in 7447 for a change and win:

[2010/08/14/南喰赤速] A:HatHair(-50.0) B:chuckys(-25.0) C:きめっち(+53.0) D:(_◎_)(+22.0)
http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010081405gm-0049-7447-xcc4041c75927&tw=2

On other news, since yesterday I momentarily stopped playing like a drunken bastard with no sense of judgement. Urabe would like that.

http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010081305gm-0009-0000-x31af1e059653&tw=1

LOL IPPAN

後で説明するで。

EDIT:

So, the thing was, my friend just made an account and he was happily playing as a 9th kyu in ippan. But he has the habit of not folding. Suddenly, he deals in a mangan and manages to somehow get 20k or so behind. He kinda desserved that, considering his lack of judgement, but the thing is, he was gonna ragequit after dealing in, so I told him to let me try to turn things around. I ended up getting a dealer baiman that got him back into first place. I wish stuff like this would happen when I play in my accounts, but it was very funny nonetheless.

I'm at my lowest point. Something that happens once in a while when I just start dealing without much thought and aim for either first or fourth. Which sucks.

If there is a "writer's block" for mahjong players, this is probably it.

I'm not even going to bother with the replays.

On a side note, you can find a lot of people interested in mahjong in twitter by doing a 麻雀 search. That's nice.

My "secondary", きめっち, is third dan already. 99 nice games.
(Just a note, きめっち (read as "kimecchi") is my "focused" account, in which I would log in to play only during conscious concentrated moments. Of which I don't get too many; hence the low number of games. And yes, I do play that bad even in concentrated/focused moments. But, oh, well...)



More stats:

http://arcturus.su/tenhou/ranking/ranking.pl?name=きめっち




I have no intention on continuing playing there until I get a little more skilled. Skilled enough to upgrade it to 4th Dan without losing rate, that is.
In the meanwhile, I'm trying to improve my 4th dan account (xkime) to R1800, which is not so hard. I need three more wins or so. From there on, I'll play on Tokujou as much as I can.

This blog has seen me grow since rookie　（新人), when I just began to play and would play in nashi-nashi just to win by insta-riichi, and now, after a whole year of playing hanchan after hanchan, reading "WWYD"/何を切る, a few online resources, and the like, I think I am somewhat intermediate. Still pretty bad, I fck up at crucial times, but at least I can accomplish a few good wins, and not deal in that much. And I really hope this blog continues to see me growing, until one day I can achieve 10th dan in a few years/decades. Nonetheless, I find much accomplishment in having a place where I can look back to and think that I am moving somewhere.

Even if the whole blog just looks like "vanity." I like to look back at old times, and see "what was I thinking?"

After all, mahjong is a game where you should learn from mistakes, isn't it. I plan to get a lot more of mistakes, and improve little by little. I don't really care about winning all that much; I just like competitive hanchan where everyone is trying their best and playing to win. Whatever happens in the middle, is between the tiles and us.

And speaking of looking back... replay dump:

【29】 2位(+12.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072208gm-0089-0000-x2bde2b30fed9&tw=2
【30】 2位(+18.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072209gm-0089-0000-x3ce14ecd5c2b&tw=1
【31】 4位(-52.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072211gm-0089-0000-x65fa6815de61&tw=1
【32】 2位(+19.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072211gm-0089-0000-xcd13122f66f4&tw=0
【33】 1位(+58.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072211gm-0089-0000-xaf5429e73077&tw=0
【34】 1位(+78.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072212gm-0089-0000-x680abfbdd71a&tw=0
【35】 2位(+10.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072305gm-0089-0000-x244ba6fc87fa&tw=1
【36】 4位(-48.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072406gm-0089-0000-x5142ed861397&tw=3
【37】 2位(+9.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072607gm-0089-0000-xd8c3c96f4d4c&tw=3
【38】 1位(+59.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072706gm-0089-0000-xdd9ae6f0a4e4&tw=0
【39】 3位(-19.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072711gm-0089-0000-x14d2ab56e5df&tw=2
【40】 1位(+40.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072713gm-0089-0000-x2f4fea2fd6e1&tw=1

Also, my main, "xkime" is not doing so bad in the monthly/gekkan ranking thus far:




【1】 1位(+61.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072715gm-0089-0000-x23553ad95bcd&tw=1
【2】 3位(-15.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072717gm-0089-0000-xc27cfd0e1482&tw=2
【3】 2位(+17.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072717gm-0089-0000-x6c198c8fc611&tw=0
【4】 1位(+65.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072806gm-0089-0000-x0744fb1f2c1f&tw=3
【5】 1位(+44.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072812gm-0089-0000-xcea4420d3b28&tw=3
【6】 1位(+61.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072908gm-0089-0000-x650a031b5007&tw=0
【7】 2位(+5.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072917gm-0089-0000-x1c86d0d48e38&tw=1
【8】 1位(+55.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072918gm-0089-0000-x58ce46d6129e&tw=1
【9】 1位(+46.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010073015gm-0089-0000-xbd43f4e9619c&tw=2

[2010/07/17/南喰赤速] A:一番を下さい(+4.0) B:HatHair(-17.0) C:Bernd(-32.0) D:xkime(+45.0)
http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071705gm-0049-7453-41074ed7&tw=3
[2010/07/17/南喰赤速] A:xkime(-25.0) B:Bernd(+55.0) C:HatHair(+12.0) D:一番を下さい(-42.0)
http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071706gm-0049-7453-e73ef12d&tw=0
[2010/07/17/南喰赤速] A:一番を下さい(-45.0) B:xkime(+7.0) C:HatHair(-20.0) D:Bernd(+58.0)
http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071706gm-0049-7453-cc00b923&tw=1
[2010/07/17/南喰赤速] A:Bernd(-22.0) B:xkime(+14.0) C:HatHair(-39.0) D:一番を下さい(+47.0)
http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071707gm-0049-7453-f9a27634&tw=1

I managed to somehow get back on possitive points after getting hit with that dealer baiman last time. Now, I just need to gather a few more points.
I'm playing just as often as always, using きめっち and trying to achieve another 4th dan rank. It's all for the sake of practice.

Replay dump:

【39】 1位(+47.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072103gm-0089-0000-x046baf252c88&tw=2
【40】 1位(+53.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010072111gm-0089-0000-x1475f1dc55d6&tw=3

[2010/07/18/上南喰赤] A:あーあーい(-16.0) B:K＠営業部長(-36.0) C:clue(+47.0) D:きめっち(+5.0)
http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071812gm-0089-0000-x10b9b88b7456&tw=3
[2010/07/19/上南喰赤] A:サフランライス(+63.0) B:ハーフライフ勢(+10.0) C:改造メカゼットン(-53.0) D:きめっち(-20.0)
http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071906gm-0089-0000-xb7cfb192d974&tw=3
[2010/07/19/上南喰赤] A:きめっち(+59.0) B:もらっしゃー(+8.0) C:ijn(-19.0) D:びびんば(-48.0)
http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071906gm-0089-0000-xf6b36cd84f4d&tw=0
[2010/07/19/上南喰赤] A:π(-47.0) B:akago(+67.0) C:きめっち(+2.0) D:獅龍(-22.0)
http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071907gm-0089-0000-x6b1845a75b21&tw=2
[2010/07/19/南喰赤] A:NoName(-51.0) B:Qw_Aｘ(+57.0) C:きめっち(-15.0) D:kirakira(+9.0)
http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071908gm-0009-0000-xebaf336bb675&tw=2
[2010/07/19/上南喰赤] A:違うか？！(-24.0) B:祐次(-54.0) C:きめっち(+22.0) D:ともちゃん(+56.0)
http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071912gm-0089-0000-x3bc41d3a2ab5&tw=2

Screenshot and replay dump.



【1】 1位(+56.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010070819gm-0089-0000-xcf7e750f016e&tw=3
【2】 4位(-55.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010070820gm-0089-0000-xf8140c1ca588&tw=1
【3】 2位(+6.0) [上東喰赤速]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010070821gm-00c1-0000-x9797afb6f489&tw=0
【4】 2位(+6.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010070822gm-0089-0000-x09a539897cdb&tw=0
【5】 4位(-33.0) [上東喰赤速]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010070823gm-00c1-0000-xcb521fd5391f&tw=0
【6】 3位(-16.0) [上東喰赤速]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010070823gm-00c1-0000-x2aaf57a1935a&tw=1
【7】 3位(-15.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010070823gm-0089-0000-x47316aa899e1&tw=0
【8】 3位(-15.0) [上東喰赤速]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010070921gm-00c1-0000-x477206c427bd&tw=2
【9】 1位(+57.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010070921gm-0089-0000-x6f13336c87e7&tw=2
【10】 2位(+10.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071006gm-0089-0000-x07ef4c7ada20&tw=1
【11】 2位(+15.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071007gm-0089-0000-xe48875443d64&tw=2
【12】 2位(0.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071009gm-0089-0000-x43215f6a8f47&tw=3
【13】 2位(+18.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071019gm-0089-0000-xcf425381e12e&tw=1
【14】 3位(-17.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071019gm-0089-0000-x94286491abbd&tw=2
【15】 4位(-51.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071020gm-0089-0000-xa064fea1f1c4&tw=0
【16】 2位(+8.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071020gm-0089-0000-xd5e17996348b&tw=3
【17】 2位(+4.0) [上東喰赤速]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071021gm-00c1-0000-x16afd6fff2b3&tw=3
【18】 3位(-32.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071021gm-0089-0000-xd6414f0b9119&tw=0
【19】 4位(-51.0) [上東喰赤速]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071022gm-00c1-0000-x40be85cb3588&tw=0
【20】 3位(-30.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071122gm-0089-0000-x165a6667c18c&tw=1
【21】 2位(+10.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071201gm-0089-0000-xbe59830af2e5&tw=1
【22】 2位(+14.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071202gm-0089-0000-x930510117e4d&tw=2
【23】 2位(+23.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071202gm-0089-0000-x6d8fafb78849&tw=3
【24】 1位(+54.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071203gm-0089-0000-xef3b50b6ec89&tw=0
【25】 1位(+44.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071210gm-0089-0000-xf0c9655858b8&tw=3
【26】 3位(-17.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071221gm-0089-0000-xd296b818b9ae&tw=0
【27】 4位(-36.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071223gm-0089-0000-x43c0c780a458&tw=2
【28】 1位(+42.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071223gm-0089-0000-xea164931e235&tw=0
【29】 2位(+18.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071306gm-0089-0000-x4a7be0de025d&tw=1
【30】 2位(+16.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071306gm-0089-0000-x30212b5c90ec&tw=0
【31】 3位(-20.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071308gm-0089-0000-xe242e1ccb3d7&tw=0
【32】 1位(+50.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071308gm-0089-0000-x7e685e4d0a68&tw=0
【33】 2位(+14.0) [南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071309gm-0009-7447-xb108626d3887&tw=3
【34】 4位(-35.0) [上東喰赤速]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071322gm-00c1-0000-x3111751ac6cf&tw=3
【35】 2位(+4.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071500gm-0089-0000-x2b6e19e7b67e&tw=1
【36】 3位(-22.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071602gm-0089-0000-xfb02d67eb60c&tw=2
【37】 1位(+44.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071603gm-0089-0000-xf7816004d4d4&tw=2
【38】 1位(+64.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071604gm-0089-0000-x04b9e100d8a8&tw=1
【39】 4位(-35.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071702gm-0089-0000-xb7cfca0d3de8&tw=3
【40】 3位(-20.0) [上南喰赤]
牌譜: http://tenhou.net/0/?log=2010071703gm-0089-0000-x817964e7e83a&tw=3