Imagine a player whose only strategy is "get menzen tenpai faster, insta-riichi, auto-win." This is foolish, but I believe it's also the strategy of the average beginner. Now, imagine a bot that's programmed to get menzen tenpai faster, insta-riichi, and just autowin. What will define their total winning?
Given that the "skill" is just the same, should we say "luck"? Luck? Or rather, probability? Statistics? Averages? EV? After 5000 games, will their stats be the same? (given that the player never improved or detoured from his strategy)
Is it luck? Then, can a bot "get lucky"? No, that cannot be, in the case of the bot it's just probability talking. Purely statistics.
Then, why would you call it "luck" in the case of the player? Why would you feel you can have "luck"? Does your sole presence on the table give you a heads-up? Do you really feel that special?
Luck is merely your -interpretation- of an outcome (either possitive or negative) that is merely linked to probability. You cannot control it, you cannot understand it. Study statistics and probability instead, and then apply it.
Smoke that, occult players.
Given that the "skill" is just the same, should we say "luck"? Luck? Or rather, probability? Statistics? Averages? EV? After 5000 games, will their stats be the same? (given that the player never improved or detoured from his strategy)
Is it luck? Then, can a bot "get lucky"? No, that cannot be, in the case of the bot it's just probability talking. Purely statistics.
Then, why would you call it "luck" in the case of the player? Why would you feel you can have "luck"? Does your sole presence on the table give you a heads-up? Do you really feel that special?
Luck is merely your -interpretation- of an outcome (either possitive or negative) that is merely linked to probability. You cannot control it, you cannot understand it. Study statistics and probability instead, and then apply it.
Smoke that, occult players.
8:57 PM |
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"Probability is on my side." doesn't sound as good as luck :p Plus, it's much more enjoyable if you play with luck in mind rather then shitting numbers out of your head and say "Oh, I had low probability of winning anyway." when you lose out of no where.
In Mahjong it's 3 vs 1. You have a low probability of winning right from the beginning.
I would like to play with luck on my side, it's what will make you win most of the time; but if you have no skill and theory from the beginning, you'll get nowhere. So, at the very least, learn that you have more probabilities of getting a tsumo with a ryanmen than with a kanchan. No luck in that.
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